Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.004235 0.004456 0.004684 0.004935 0.005205 0.005486 0.005802
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.003804 0.004129 0.004476 0.004878 0.005329 0.005823 0.006407
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003532 0.003914 0.004334 0.004833 0.005413 0.006071 0.006879
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003312 0.003729 0.004198 0.004769 0.005450 0.006244 0.007249
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003208 0.003664 0.004188 0.004839 0.005636 0.006589 0.007832
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003084 0.003565 0.004127 0.004839 0.005729 0.006818 0.008278
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002958 0.003456 0.004046 0.004805 0.005772 0.006980 0.008639
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002822 0.003327 0.003932 0.004722 0.005744 0.007046 0.008870
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002708 0.003218 0.003838 0.004657 0.005733 0.007127 0.009121
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002635 0.003158 0.003799 0.004660 0.005808 0.007321 0.009533
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002496 0.003009 0.003644 0.004503 0.005661 0.007208 0.009503
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002439 0.002961 0.003614 0.004509 0.005733 0.007395 0.009909
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002425 0.002969 0.003658 0.004615 0.005946 0.007789 0.010646
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002347 0.002891 0.003587 0.004563 0.005937 0.007868 0.010916
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002278 0.002824 0.003526 0.004522 0.005941 0.007964 0.011215
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002207 0.002750 0.003455 0.004464 0.005916 0.008014 0.011442
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002186 0.002743 0.003472 0.004528 0.006070 0.008336 0.012119
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002143 0.002704 0.003445 0.004528 0.006129 0.008516 0.012576
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002092 0.002652 0.003398 0.004497 0.006140 0.008619 0.012910
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002027 0.002580 0.003321 0.004421 0.006078 0.008607 0.013045
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001971 0.002519 0.003258 0.004361 0.006039 0.008628 0.013235
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001939 0.002490 0.003237 0.004364 0.006096 0.008803 0.013706
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001860 0.002393 0.003120 0.004220 0.005919 0.008590 0.013471